Business Analytics: The Art of Modeling with Spreadsheets, EMEA Edition
Höfundar:
Stephen G. Powell; Kenneth R. Baker (Útgáfa: 5)
Kaup valmöguleikar
Now in its fifth edition, Powell and Baker's Business Analytics: The Art of Modeling with Spreadsheets provides students and business analysts with the technical knowledge and skill needed to develop real expertise in business modeling. In this book, the authors cover spreadsheet engineering, management science, and the modeling craft. The briefness & accessibility of this title offers opportunities to integrate other materials -such as cases -into the course.
Nánar um bókina
- Wiley Global Education UK
- 9781119636946
- 9781119586814
- ePub
- 5
- Stephen G. Powell; Kenneth R. Baker
- English
- 01/2020
- 100
- 10
- 2
Kaflar
- COVER
- TITLE PAGE
- PREFACE
- ABOUT THE AUTHORS
- 1 INTRODUCTION
- 1.1 MODELS AND MODELING
- 1.2 THE ROLE OF SPREADSHEETS
- 1.3 THE REAL WORLD AND THE MODEL WORLD
- 1.4 LESSONS FROM EXPERT AND NOVICE MODELERS
- 1.5 ORGANIZATION OF THE BOOK
- 1.6 SUMMARY
- SUGGESTED READINGS
- 2 MODELING IN A PROBLEM‐SOLVING FRAMEWORK
- 2.1 INTRODUCTION
- 2.2 THE PROBLEM-SOLVING PROCESS
- 2.3 INFLUENCE CHARTS
- 2.4 CRAFT SKILLS FOR MODELING
- 2.5 SUMMARY
- SUGGESTED READINGS
- EXERCISES
- 3 SPREADSHEET ENGINEERING
- 3.1 INTRODUCTION
- 3.2 DESIGNING A SPREADSHEET
- 3.3 DESIGNING A WORKBOOK
- 3.4 BUILDING A WORKBOOK
- 3.5 TESTING A WORKBOOK
- 3.6 SUMMARY
- SUGGESTED READINGS
- EXERCISES
- 4 ANALYSIS USING SPREADSHEETS
- 4.1 INTRODUCTION
- 4.2 BASE-CASE ANALYSIS
- 4.3 WHAT-IF ANALYSIS
- 4.4 BREAKEVEN ANALYSIS
- 4.5 OPTIMIZATION ANALYSIS
- 4.6 SIMULATION AND RISK ANALYSIS
- 4.7 SUMMARY
- EXERCISES
- 5 DATA EXPLORATION AND PREPARATION
- 5.1 INTRODUCTION
- 5.2 DATASET STRUCTURE
- 5.3 TYPES OF DATA
- 5.4 DATA EXPLORATION
- 5.5 DATA PREPARATION
- 5.6 SUMMARY
- SUGGESTED READINGS
- EXERCISES
- 6 CLASSIFICATION AND PREDICTION METHODS
- 6.1 INTRODUCTION
- 6.2 PRELIMINARIES
- 6.3 CLASSIFICATION AND PREDICTION TREES
- 6.4 ADDITIONAL ALGORITHMS FOR CLASSIFICATION
- 6.5 ADDITIONAL ALGORITHMS FOR PREDICTION
- 6.6 STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES OF ALGORITHMS
- 6.7 PRACTICAL ADVICE
- 6.8 SUMMARY
- SUGGESTED READINGS
- EXERCISES
- 7 SHORT-TERM FORECASTING
- 7.1 INTRODUCTION
- 7.2 FORECASTING WITH TIME-SERIES MODELS
- 7.3 THE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING MODEL
- 7.4 EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING WITH A TREND
- 7.5 EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING WITH TREND AND CYCLICAL FACTORS
- 7.6 USING XLMiner FOR SHORT-TERM FORECASTING
- 7.7 SUMMARY
- SUGGESTED READINGS
- EXERCISES
- 8 NONLINEAR OPTIMIZATION
- 8.1 INTRODUCTION
- 8.2 AN OPTIMIZATION EXAMPLE
- 8.3 BUILDING MODELS FOR SOLVER
- 8.4 MODEL CLASSIFICATION AND THE NONLINEAR SOLVER
- 8.5 NONLINEAR PROGRAMMING EXAMPLES
- 8.6 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS FOR NONLINEAR PROGRAMS
- 8.7* THE PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION MODEL
- 8.8 SUMMARY
- SUGGESTED READINGS
- EXERCISES
- 9 LINEAR OPTIMIZATION
- 9.1 INTRODUCTION
- 9.2 ALLOCATION MODELS
- 9.3 COVERING MODELS
- 9.4 BLENDING MODELS
- 9.5 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS FOR LINEAR PROGRAMS
- 9.6 PATTERNS IN LINEAR PROGRAMMING SOLUTIONS
- 9.7* DATA ENVELOPMENT ANALYSIS
- 9.8 SUMMARY
- SUGGESTED READINGS
- EXERCISES
- APPENDIX 9.1 THE SOLVER SENSITIVITY REPORT
- 10 OPTIMIZATION OF NETWORK MODELS
- 10.1 INTRODUCTION
- 10.2 THE TRANSPORTATION MODEL
- 10.3 ASSIGNMENT MODEL
- 10.4 THE TRANSSHIPMENT MODEL
- 10.5 A STANDARD FORM FOR NETWORK MODELS
- 10.6 NETWORK MODELS WITH YIELDS
- 10.7 NETWORK MODELS FOR PROCESS TECHNOLOGIES
- 10.8 SUMMARY
- EXERCISES
- 11 INTEGER OPTIMIZATION
- 11.1 INTRODUCTION
- 11.2 INTEGER VARIABLES AND THE INTEGER SOLVER
- 11.3 BINARY VARIABLES AND BINARY CHOICE MODELS
- 11.4 BINARY VARIABLES AND LOGICAL RELATIONSHIPS
- 11.5 THE FACILITY LOCATION MODEL
- 11.6 SUMMARY
- SUGGESTED READINGS
- EXERCISES
- 12 OPTIMIZATION OF NONSMOOTH MODELS
- 12.1 INTRODUCTION
- 12.2 FEATURES OF THE EVOLUTIONARY SOLVER
- 12.3 CURVE FITTING (REVISITED)
- 12.4 THE ADVERTISING BUDGET PROBLEM (REVISITED)
- 12.5 THE CAPITAL BUDGETING PROBLEM (REVISITED)
- 12.6 THE FIXED COST PROBLEM (REVISITED)
- 12.7 THE MACHINE-SEQUENCING PROBLEM
- 12.8 THE TRAVELING SALESPERSON PROBLEM
- 12.9 GROUP ASSIGNMENT
- 12.10 SUMMARY
- EXERCISES
- 13 DECISION ANALYSIS
- 13.1 INTRODUCTION
- 13.2 PAYOFF TABLES AND DECISION CRITERIA
- 13.3 USING TREES TO MODEL DECISIONS
- 13.4 USING DECISION TREE SOFTWARE
- 13.5* MAXIMIZING EXPECTED UTILITY WITH DECISION TREE
- 13.6 SUMMARY
- SUGGESTED READINGS
- EXERCISES
- 14 MONTE CARLO SIMULATION
- 14.1 INTRODUCTION
- 14.2 A SIMPLE ILLUSTRATION
- 14.3 THE SIMULATION PROCESS
- 14.4 CORPORATE VALUATION USING SIMULATION
- 14.5 OPTION PRICING USING SIMULATION
- 14.6 SELECTING UNCERTAIN PARAMETERS
- 14.7 SELECTING PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS
- 14.8 ENSURING PRECISION IN OUTPUTS
- 14.9 INTERPRETING SIMULATION OUTCOMES
- 14.10 WHEN TO SIMULATE AND WHEN NOT TO SIMULATE
- 14.11 SUMMARY
- SUGGESTED READINGS
- EXERCISES
- 15 OPTIMIZATION IN SIMULATION
- 15.1 INTRODUCTION
- 15.2 OPTIMIZATION WITH ONE OR TWO DECISION VARIABLES
- 15.3 STOCHASTIC OPTIMIZATION
- 15.4 CHANCE CONSTRAINTS
- 15.5 TWO‐STAGE PROBLEMS WITH RECOURSE
- 15.6 SUMMARY
- SUGGESTED READINGS
- EXERCISES
- MODELING CASES
- APPENDIX 1: BASIC EXCEL SKILLS
- INTRODUCTION
- EXCEL PREREQUISITES
- THE EXCEL WINDOW
- CONFIGURING EXCEL
- MANIPULATING WINDOWS AND SHEETS
- NAVIGATION
- SELECTING CELLS
- ENTERING TEXT AND DATA
- EDITING CELLS
- FORMATTING
- BASIC FORMULAS
- BASIC FUNCTIONS
- CHARTING
- PRINTING
- HELP OPTIONS
- KEYBOARD SHORTCUTS
- CELL COMMENTS
- NAMING CELLS AND RANGES
- SOME ADVANCED TOOLS
- APPENDIX 2: MACROS AND VBA
- INTRODUCTION
- RECORDING A MACRO
- EDITING A MACRO
- CREATING A USER-DEFINED FUNCTION
- SUGGESTED READINGS
- APPENDIX 3: BASIC PROBABILITY CONCEPTS
- INTRODUCTION
- PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS
- EXAMPLES OF DISCRETE DISTRIBUTIONS
- EXAMPLES OF CONTINUOUS DISTRIBUTIONS
- EXPECTED VALUES
- CUMULATIVE DISTRIBUTION FUNCTIONS
- TAIL PROBABILITIES
- VARIABILITY
- SAMPLING
- INDEX
- END USER LICENSE AGREEMENT